The AI Math Is Brutal – Is Half Your Portfolio Already Dead? + $POET’s Wild Week (E130)
Luke sold two stocks this week. Not because earnings disappointed or guidance missed — but because he ran the numbers on what AI actually does to software valuations, and the math got uncomfortable fast. Meanwhile, Krzysztof turned a 70% options loss into a breakeven exit… then watched the stock moon another 60%… then crater 50% — all in the same week. This is what investing in the AI era actually feels like.
💀 Monkey’s $POET call option went from genius to idiot to genius in 7 days — a masterclass in what NOT to do with options, and the one trading rule that could have saved him
🎓 Badger breaks down the DCF concept most investors ignore: why a 5% annual “AI death probability” can slash a company’s fair value by nearly 50% — and why that math should terrify SaaS investors
🤖 “It’s not that AI will build a better ServiceNow — it’s that you won’t NEED ServiceNow” — the Kodak fallacy hiding in plain sight across your portfolio
🎯 Luke sold $CRM and $ZS this week — hear exactly why, and whether $CRWD is next on the chopping block
🧠 The ostrich investor, anchoring bias, and why knowing what can go wrong is the most valuable skill in your arsenal right now
🌴 Community portfolio 6-month check-in: $WISE up 23%, the overall portfolio down 12% — and why that’s not the point
Sources:
King of the Jungle Spreadsheet: https://www.patreon.com/posts/150190962
The Investor’s Mirror (iOS App): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/investors-mirror/id6760048070
Segments:
00:00:00 Cold Open: AI Is Killing Companies — Not Replacing Them
00:00:54 Intro + Luke Bought a Motorcycle (Investing Adjacent, We Promise)
00:10:57 Monkey’s $POET Options Debacle: From 70% Loss to Breakeven to… 50% Drop
00:21:43 The SaaS Apocalypse: How AI Rewrites Software Valuations
00:33:39 Why ServiceNow Might Not Need a Replacement — It Just Disappears $NOW
00:41:34 Luke Sold $CRM and $ZS — Here’s the Exact Reasoning
00:54:52 Is $CRWD Next? The CrowdStrike Question
00:57:32 Community Portfolio 6-Month Review: $WISE, $TTD, $NU, and What’s Next
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Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation
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