Our First Live Show: AI Doomsday, Should You Buy $ODD, and the Hare vs the Tortoise (E150)

Episode 150 is the first Wall Street Wildlife recorded live in front of the Patreon community, questions from the chat included. Monkey makes the case for Oddity Tech after the post-earnings pop, the King of the Jungle scoreboard turns into a hare-versus-tortoise argument, and we spend half an hour on the 3,800 words Dario Amodei wrote asking the whole AI industry to slow down.

📚 A book for a 20-year-old who wants to learn investing: Luke picks David Gardner's Rule Breaker Investing, Monkey nominates Richer, Wiser, Happier and proposes a WSW book club

🐢 King of the Jungle year three, six weeks to go: year one Badger won, year two Monkey ripped 380% (fourteen times the market) while Badger delivered 93%. If you're an investor, who would you rather be? The answer isn't obvious

🧘 "It doesn't matter how Zen you are." Monkey on what a top holding down 70-something percent actually feels like, and why a 20-year-old should still swing big

💸 All in on high-growth stocks while the US debt snowballs? Bitcoin, Chainlink, $ASST, and why diversification and hedging are two different things

☂️ Options as insurance, not lottery tickets: "professional investors would say not having market hedges on is being too risky"

⚡ Luke's growth-plus-income "hedge": Iberdrola, Clearway, Brookfield Renewable and Constellation, half a percent each, and who buys their power

💄 Should you buy $ODD? Beat guidance 11 quarters running, met one algorithm change, fell from $77 to under $10, and Monkey averaged in at $12. Two of three brands growing fast, buybacks with the excess cash, longevity products promised for 2027

🤖 AI doomsday: the tweet that said insiders see a 10%+ chance AI kills us all within 10 years, and why OpenAI, Anthropic and Musk all lined up behind it the same week

🏦 Dario's "embedded evaluator", explained by a banker who lived under one at HSBC. Then the China problem, Oppenheimer's non-zero chance, and the Elizabeth Holmes face-to-face documentary

🛡️ Live from the tape: the market sold off on the day the AI labs said slow down and Monkey's top gainers were SentinelOne, CrowdStrike, Zscaler, Rubrik and Palo Alto

SEGMENTS

00:00 Cold open 00:37 Live for the first time 01:40 Welcome to the Deep Investing Jungle 03:44 Jose Luis's question: a first investing book for a 20-year-old 07:47 Richer, Wiser, Happier and the WSW book club 12:42 King of the Jungle, six weeks from the end of year three 13:16 The all-time scoreboard: hare versus tortoise 21:01 "It doesn't matter how Zen you are": living with a 70% drawdown 22:55 Stephen's question: all in on high growth in a debt spiral? 29:12 The other quadrant of options: hedges are insurance 32:57 Luke's growth-and-income hedge: $IBE $CWEN $BEPC $CEG 35:26 Diversification is not hedging 40:17 Should you buy $ODD? Oddity Tech earnings 42:58 The Fiscal.ai chart: revenue, guidance, the algorithm change 45:03 Revenue by brand: Il Makiage, SpoiledChild, Methodiq 46:56 Monkey's position, and the TLDR 48:29 Seeking Alpha, Alpha Picks, and selling Badger on makeup 54:29 Headline topic: AI doomsday 55:49 The tweet: a 10% chance AI kills everyone within 3 to 10 years 58:08 Sincere or psyop? The game theory of Dario's 3,800 words 01:03:07 Monkey the virologist: the bioterror path 01:06:33 How do you IPO while saying your product might kill everyone? 01:09:04 The embedded evaluator: what HSBC's monitor was actually like 01:11:21 The China problem and Oppenheimer's non-zero chance 01:14:52 Elizabeth Holmes, Nathan Fielder, and the limits of sincerity 01:17:09 Dario's three levels, taken at face value 01:18:59 They'll hire Monkey as the evaluator 01:20:01 Live market: the day cybersecurity led the tape 01:22:00 Fiscal.ai and sign-off

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