One Of Us Lost 58% This Year (E157)

(apologies for Luke's audio quality this week, visiting family, and had a major tech failure minute before starting the livestream)

King of the Jungle is our real-money investing contest: each of us started with $1,000 in October 2023, then added $100 a month in year one and $200 a month since, and the thesis behind our trades lives at wallstreetwildlife.com/kotj.

Year 3 ended with the close on Friday Oct 30th, and the S&P 500 beat all three players: the same deposits in the index made 12.1%, Luke's Badger portfolio lost 6.8%, our Patreon community lost 29.0% in its first year, and Monkey lost 58.3% straight after making an incredible 426.4% in Year 2.

Monkey bet on the bottlenecks of the AI build-out, power and data centers like $IREN and Eos $EOSE, then bought March call options on $ASTS as it kept falling, and he blames timing and Musk more than his process.

Badger's cap on any one stock made him sell half his Rocket Lab $RKLB on the way up, while Alphabet $GOOGL, his biggest position until last week, fell 12.6% the day after its earnings.

Recorded the day before the US midterms, the episode ends on cash: Luke holds 21% and would welcome a sell-off, and he expects the Nasdaq to be lower a week from now. Both hosts own $ASTS and $IREN.

🏁 Year 3 on the same deposits: S&P 500 +12.1%, Badger -6.8%, Community -29.0%, Monkey -58.3%

🔌 Monkey's bottleneck bet: $IREN fell from $60.75 to $23.95 in Year 3 and $EOSE from $16.03 to $1.89

✂️ Trim or let it run: Monkey wishes he had trimmed more Eos; both hosts like a cap on any one position (Luke's is 15%)

🛰️ $ASTS: Monkey's case that the spectrum alone is worth more than the $15 billion company, and Luke's warning about his March calls

🚀 $RKLB: Luke bought at $4.13 in Oct 2023 and sold half on the way up; it peaked at $150.23 on May 27

💵 Cash before the midterms: Luke holds 21% and wants a sell-off; Monkey's note to self, "go slower than you think you should go"

🏆 Community portfolio: Luke says Rubrik $RBRK is its only winner, and names Adrian best nominator and Robert best voter - Patreon merch will be following soon!

SEGMENTS 00:00 Cold open 00:37 King of the Jungle, Year 3 05:04 Monkey's AI bottleneck bet 12:00 Uncertainty and a lopsided market 17:48 The Year 3 leaderboard 23:50 Monkey's portfolio: $ODD and $EOSE 31:31 Luke's top three and $RKLB trims 36:18 Why it fell, and the $ASTS calls 52:22 Cash: when to deploy it 01:01:37 Community portfolio and awards 01:08:42 Midterms and the Nasdaq call

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